Tuesday, 16 February 2016 14:06

THE IMF IMPROVES ITS GROWTH FORECAST FOR SPAIN

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The IMF improves its growth forecast for Spain 2.7% in 2016 and 2.3% in 2017. Spain is one of the few countries with the International Monetary Fund raised its growth figures for this year and next. In fact, the agency lowered its forecast for global growth.

Specifically, the body chaired by Christine Largade forecast in its report Global Growth Outlook (WEO for its acronym in English) that the Spanish economy will grow 2.7% in 2016 (two more than expected in October tenths) and 2, 3% in 2017 (one more than it collected so far tenth).

It should also be noted that despite this improvement in the estimates of the IMF, Spain's GDP will slow its expansion compared to 2015, year in which grew by 3.2% (half a point), following the trend of global economic slowdown that is occurring right now.

In fact, the IMF, which puts world growth at 3.1% in 2015, has cut its forecast two tenths for both 2016 and 2017, leaving overall GDP figures for those years at 3.4% and 3.6%, respectively.

Private consumption growth kicks in euro

The IMF also slightly improved its forecast for the euro area; in particular, it raised a tenth to 1.7% in 2016 and maintains the same rate for 2017. Germany, the engine of the region will grow 1.7% in 2016 (one tenth more than expected in October) and maintain the same level in the following year (two more than the previous report tenths).

Moreover, France, the second largest economy in the region, has been trimmed its growth forecasts to 1.3% in 2016 (two tenths less) and 1.5% in 2017 (one tenth less), according to the IMF.

Emerging countries hinder growth

The IMF predicts that China will grow this year by 6.3% and 6% in 2017, while also the growth prospects for India will increase at 7.5% per year respectively.

However, the institution slashes its forecasts for the Latin America and Caribbean, showing a fall of 0.3% in 2016, representing a reduction of 1.1 percentage points from the October forecast, while predicts 2017 GDP growth in the region of 1.6%, seven tenths less than before.


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Last modified on Tuesday, 16 February 2016 14:13

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